St. Truiden vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 8 August: St. Truiden v Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Daio Wasabi Stayen. In the table, St. Truiden are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Lommel United are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
St. Truiden, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lommel United, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to ADO Den Haag, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 1.9 xG, Lommel United 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 60%, draw 23%, Lommel United 17%.
Lower-risk option: St. Truiden or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 1–1 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Truiden60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.80
Lommel United17%fair 5.88 · @5.25
2.97Expected goals
1.93St. Truiden xG
1.04Lommel United xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.9 – 1.0 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Draw no bet
St. Truiden (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Lommel United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
St. Truiden to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
St. Truiden – last 6
LLWWWW
2 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ Liège
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ FC Luzern
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ Patro Eisden
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Zepperen-Brustem
6–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 6
LWLDWW
24 Jul
vs ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ OH Leuven
1–5
L
11 Jul
@ Cercle Brugge
1–1
D
17 May
vs Dender
3–2
W
27 Apr
@ Liège
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lommel United 17%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–1 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
St. Truiden vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
