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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KVC Westerlo v Union St. Gilloise: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Het Kuipje
1–5
FT
KVC Westerlo 19%Draw 20%Union St. Gilloise 61% Expected goals 1.13 – 2.36
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 8 August the Jupiler Pro League brings KVC Westerlo against Union St. Gilloise at Het Kuipje. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, KVC Westerlo are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

KVC Westerlo, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Samsunspor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Union St. Gilloise, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with BodoGlimt, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for KVC Westerlo.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended KVC Westerlo 0–0 Union St. Gilloise.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KVC Westerlo 1.1 xG, Union St. Gilloise 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KVC Westerlo 19%, draw 20%, Union St. Gilloise 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: KVC Westerlo 1–2 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KVC Westerlo19%fair 5.31 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
Union St. Gilloise61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
3.50Expected goals
1.13KVC Westerlo xG
2.36Union St. Gilloise xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%

From our goals model: KVC Westerlo 1.1 – 2.4 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓61%1.631.75 ▲
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.73
Draw no betUnion St. Gilloise (draw no bet) ✓77%1.31–
Asian handicapUnion St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.12
First team to scoreUnion St. Gilloise to score first66%1.53–
Half-time resultUnion St. Gilloise ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

KVC Westerlo – last 6

LDLDLL
1 Augvs Samsunspor1–2L
29 Julvs Kifisia1–1D
25 Jul@ Dunkerque1–3L
22 Julvs Al-Fayha0–0D
18 Julvs Beerschot VA0–2L
4 Jul@ PAOK0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Union St. Gilloise – last 6

DDLWWW
4 Augvs BodoGlimt3–3D
31 Jul@ Club Brugge KV1–1D
18 Jul@ PSV Eindhoven3–7L
11 Julvs Aarhus2–1W
5 Julvs FCSB4–0W
30 Jun@ Diegem Sport7–0W
3.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026KVC Westerlo v Union St. Gilloise0–0
KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?

On our numbers KVC Westerlo have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union St. Gilloise 61%.

How many goals will there be in KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our predicted score is KVC Westerlo 1–2 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise?

KVC Westerlo vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Het Kuipje.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.