Charleroi 30%Draw 22%Union St. Gilloise 47%Expected goals 1.25 – 1.63
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union St. Gilloise travel to face Charleroi on Saturday 5 September in the Jupiler Pro League, with Stade du Pays de Charleroi the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Charleroi are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Charleroi, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kortrijk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over St. Truiden, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Charleroi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Union St. Gilloise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charleroi 1.3 xG, Union St. Gilloise 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charleroi 30%, draw 22%, Union St. Gilloise 47%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charleroi 1–1 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charleroi30%fair 3.29 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Union St. Gilloise47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
2.88Expected goals
1.25Charleroi xG
1.63Union St. Gilloise xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Charleroi 1.3 – 1.6 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
47%
2.12
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Charleroi +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Charleroi – last 6
WWWWLW
29 Aug
@ Kortrijk
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Seraing United
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWDDWD
2 Sep
@ St. Truiden
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Anderlecht
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Zulte Waregem
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
5–1
W
4 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
3–3
D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charleroi and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Charleroi have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union St. Gilloise 47%.
How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Charleroi 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise?
Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
