St. Truiden 65%Draw 24%RAAL La Louvière 12%Expected goals 2.44 – 1.06
65%
Betarazi pick
St. Truiden to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 5 September: St. Truiden v RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Daio Wasabi Stayen. In the table, St. Truiden are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; RAAL La Louvière are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
St. Truiden, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Union St. Gilloise, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
RAAL La Louvière, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with KV Mechelen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for RAAL La Louvière.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 2.4 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 65%, draw 24%, RAAL La Louvière 12%.
Lower-risk option: St. Truiden or draw (88%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was St. Truiden to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 2–1 RAAL La Louvière. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Truiden65%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
RAAL La Louvière12%fair 8.40 · @4.80
3.50Expected goals
2.44St. Truiden xG
1.06RAAL La Louvière xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.4 – 1.1 RAAL La Louvière expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✓
65%
1.55
1.62
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
St. Truiden (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
St. Truiden -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
St. Truiden to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
St. Truiden – last 6
LWLWDD
2 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Antwerp
4–1
W
27 Aug
@ Omonia Nicosia
2–4
L
20 Aug
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Lommel United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RAAL La Louvière – last 6
DLLLDD
29 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Standard Liege
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Gent
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Anderlecht
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Samsunspor
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our pick is St. Truiden to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and RAAL La Louvière 12%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 2–1 RAAL La Louvière, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière?
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
