Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharleroi to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceCharleroi or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Charleroi v Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. In the table, Charleroi are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; Cercle Brugge are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charleroi, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zulte Waregem, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cercle Brugge, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with OH Leuven, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Charleroi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Cercle Brugge.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charleroi 2.0 xG, Cercle Brugge 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charleroi 65%, draw 20%, Cercle Brugge 15%.
Lower-risk option: Charleroi or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Charleroi to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Charleroi or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charleroi 1–0 Cercle Brugge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charleroi65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.80
Cercle Brugge15%fair 6.68 · @3.90
2.83Expected goals
2.00Charleroi xG
0.83Cercle Brugge xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Charleroi 2.0 – 0.8 Cercle Brugge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Charleroi or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Draw no bet
Charleroi (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Charleroi -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Charleroi to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Charleroi ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Charleroi – last 6
WLWWWW
13 Sep
@ Zulte Waregem
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
2–3
L
29 Aug
@ Kortrijk
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cercle Brugge – last 6
DLLLDD
12 Sep
@ OH Leuven
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gent
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lommel United
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs St. Truiden
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Standard Liege
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charleroi and Cercle Brugge.
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Our pick is Charleroi or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
On our numbers Charleroi have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cercle Brugge 15%.
How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Our predicted score is Charleroi 1–0 Cercle Brugge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?
Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
