Lommel United 42%Draw 22%KV Mechelen 36%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.31
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Lommel United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLommel United to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
KV Mechelen travel to face Lommel United on Saturday 19 September in the Jupiler Pro League, with Soevereinstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Lommel United are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; KV Mechelen are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Lommel United, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Union St. Gilloise, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
KV Mechelen, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Anderlecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lommel United, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for KV Mechelen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lommel United 1.4 xG, KV Mechelen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lommel United 42%, draw 22%, KV Mechelen 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Lommel United to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lommel United 1–1 KV Mechelen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lommel United42%fair 2.41 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
KV Mechelen36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
2.75Expected goals
1.44Lommel United xG
1.31KV Mechelen xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lommel United 1.4 – 1.3 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lommel United to win✗
42%
2.41
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Lommel United (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
KV Mechelen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Lommel United to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lommel United / FT Lommel United✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Lommel United – last 6
LLWWLD
12 Sep
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–5
L
4 Sep
vs Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
16 Aug
vs Charleroi
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ St. Truiden
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
KV Mechelen – last 6
LLDLDL
11 Sep
vs Anderlecht
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs KVC Westerlo
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Charleroi
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Standard Liege
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Gent
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and KV Mechelen.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and KV Mechelen 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 1–1 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs KV Mechelen?
Lommel United vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
