Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Genk to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGenk to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceGenk or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.27
Genk vs Standard Liege: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Jupiler Pro League brings Genk against Standard Liege at Cegeka Arena. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Standard Liege are 8th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Genk, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Excelsior Virton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Standard Liege, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dender, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Genk 0–3 Standard Liege.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 2.3 xG, Standard Liege 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 62%, draw 21%, Standard Liege 16%.
Lower-risk option: Genk or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Genk to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Genk or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 2–1 Standard Liege. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Standard Liege16%fair 6.08 · @4.20
3.38Expected goals
2.26Genk xG
1.12Standard Liege xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Genk 2.3 – 1.1 Standard Liege expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Genk vs Standard Liege?
Our pick is Genk or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liege?
On our numbers Genk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Standard Liege 16%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Standard Liege?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Standard Liege?
Our predicted score is Genk 2–1 Standard Liege, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Standard Liege?
Genk vs Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
