Union St. Gilloise 68%Draw 16%Cercle Brugge 16%Expected goals 2.25 – 0.94
68%
Betarazi pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Jupiler Pro League brings Union St. Gilloise against Cercle Brugge at Stade Joseph Marien. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Cercle Brugge are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Hapoel Beer Sheva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cercle Brugge, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sporting Hasselt, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Cercle Brugge.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 2.2 xG, Cercle Brugge 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 16%, Cercle Brugge 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @5.00
Cercle Brugge16%fair 6.41 · @8.00
3.19Expected goals
2.25Union St. Gilloise xG
0.94Cercle Brugge xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.2 – 0.9 Cercle Brugge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWDDWW
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Plzen
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cercle Brugge – last 6
WLLDLL
16 Oct
@ Sporting Hasselt
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Anderlecht
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Charleroi
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ OH Leuven
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gent
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lommel United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cercle Brugge 16%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
