Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBistrica to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceBistrica or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Bistrica vs Brežice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brežice travel to face Bistrica on Saturday 12 September in the 2. SNL – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bistrica are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Brežice are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bistrica, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Triglav, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Brežice, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dravinja, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bistrica, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Brežice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bistrica 2.0 xG, Brežice 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bistrica 67%, draw 21%, Brežice 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bistrica to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bistrica 2–0 Brežice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bistrica67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.10
Brežice13%fair 7.98 · @5.75
2.77Expected goals
2.02Bistrica xG
0.75Brežice xG
44%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Bistrica 2.0 – 0.8 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bistrica to win✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Bistrica or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Bistrica (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Bistrica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Bistrica to score first✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Bistrica ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Bistrica – last 6
LWWLDL
4 Sep
@ Triglav
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bilje
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ilirija
0–6
L
7 Aug
@ Krka
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Voitsberg
4–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 4
DLLL
5 Sep
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Bilje
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bistrica and Brežice.
Our pick is Bistrica to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bistrica vs Brežice?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brežice 13%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Brežice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 2–0 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Brežice?
Bistrica vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
