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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jesenice v Ilirija: numbers & prediction

2. SNL · Slovenia
3–1
FT

Ilirija

DLWWW
Jesenice 21%Draw 21%Ilirija 58% Expected goals 0.91 – 1.73
58%
Betarazi pick

Ilirija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlirija to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 16.28

Jesenice vs Ilirija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the 2. SNL brings Jesenice against Ilirija. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Jesenice are 8th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Ilirija are 6th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jesenice, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Krka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ilirija, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Primorje, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ilirija, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Jesenice.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Ilirija 2–0 Jesenice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jesenice 0.9 xG, Ilirija 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jesenice 21%, draw 21%, Ilirija 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ilirija to win (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jesenice 0–1 Ilirija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jesenice21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Ilirija58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
2.64Expected goals
0.91Jesenice xG
1.73Ilirija xG
47%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Jesenice 0.9 – 1.7 Ilirija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlirija to win ✗58%1.721.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betIlirija (draw no bet) ✗73%1.36–
Asian handicapJesenice +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreIlirija to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilirija / FT Ilirija ✗35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6%16.28–

Recent results

Jesenice – last 6

LWWDLL
5 Sep@ Krka0–2L
29 Augvs Beltinci3–1W
21 Aug@ Dekani2–0W
14 Augvs Krško1–1D
8 Augvs Tabor Sežana0–3L
23 Mayvs Dravinja0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ilirija – last 6

DLWWWL
4 Sepvs Primorje0–0D
28 Aug@ Slovan Ljubljana1–2L
22 Augvs Rudar2–0W
15 Aug@ Bistrica6–0W
9 Augvs Dravinja1–0W
22 Mayvs Beltinci1–3L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Ilirija v Jesenice2–0
Jesenice vs Ilirija head-to-head page →

2. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tabor Sežana141112+1734
2Beltinci141013+2431
3Triglav141013+1831
4Bilje14806-124
5Bistrica14725+223
6Ilirija14716+822
7Rudar14716+522
8Jesenice14545+119
9Dekani14545019
10Slovan Ljubljana14536-718
11Krka14518-416
12Primorje14446-516
13Dravinja14428-914
14Dren Vrhnika14428-1314
15Krško14239-209
16Brežice14149-167

More 2. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jesenice vs Ilirija?

Our pick is Ilirija to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Jesenice vs Ilirija?

On our numbers Jesenice have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ilirija 58%.

How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Ilirija?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jesenice vs Ilirija?

Our predicted score is Jesenice 0–1 Ilirija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Jesenice vs Ilirija?

Jesenice vs Ilirija (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.