Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Bistrica to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBistrica to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Bistrica vs Rudar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rudar travel to face Bistrica on Sunday 4 October in the 2. SNL – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Bistrica are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Rudar are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bistrica, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tabor Sežana, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rudar, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dravinja, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Rudar, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bistrica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bistrica 2.0 xG, Rudar 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bistrica 57%, draw 20%, Rudar 22%.
Price worth noting: Bistrica to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bistrica 2–1 Rudar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bistrica57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.60
Rudar22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
3.12Expected goals
1.98Bistrica xG
1.15Rudar xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Bistrica 2.0 – 1.1 Rudar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bistrica to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Bistrica (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Rudar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Bistrica to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Bistrica ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Bistrica – last 6
LLWLWW
26 Sep
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Dravinja
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Brežice
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Triglav
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Bilje
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rudar – last 6
WWWLWL
28 Sep
vs Dravinja
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Brežice
4–3
W
13 Sep
vs Triglav
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ Dren Vrhnika
2–4
L
29 Aug
vs Bilje
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Ilirija
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bistrica and Rudar.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bistrica vs Rudar?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rudar 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Rudar?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Rudar?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 2–1 Rudar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Rudar?
Bistrica vs Rudar (2. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
