Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultTriglav to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceTriglav or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Triglav vs Jesenice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jesenice travel to face Triglav on Sunday 4 October in the 2. SNL, with Stanko Mlakar Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Triglav are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Jesenice are 8th (upper half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Triglav, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Primorje, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jesenice, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Dren Vrhnika, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Jesenice 0–3 Triglav.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Triglav 1.9 xG, Jesenice 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Triglav 59%, draw 24%, Jesenice 18%.
Lower-risk option: Triglav or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Triglav to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Triglav 1–0 Jesenice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Triglav59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.80
Jesenice18%fair 5.66 · @3.80
2.86Expected goals
1.90Triglav xG
0.96Jesenice xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Triglav 1.9 – 1.0 Jesenice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Triglav vs Jesenice?
On our numbers Triglav have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jesenice 18%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Jesenice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Jesenice?
Our predicted score is Triglav 1–0 Jesenice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Jesenice?
Triglav vs Jesenice (2. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
