Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultJesenice to win ✗58% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 17.02
Jesenice vs Brežice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brežice travel to face Jesenice on Saturday 10 October in the 2. SNL – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Jesenice are 8th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Brežice are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jesenice, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Triglav, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Brežice, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Primorje, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jesenice, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Brežice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jesenice 2.0 xG, Brežice 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jesenice 58%, draw 19%, Brežice 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jesenice 2–1 Brežice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jesenice58%fair 1.71 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.80
Brežice22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
3.05Expected goals
1.95Jesenice xG
1.10Brežice xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Jesenice 2.0 – 1.1 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jesenice to win✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Jesenice (draw no bet)
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Brežice +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Jesenice to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Jesenice ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jesenice / FT Jesenice✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
17.02
–
Recent results
Jesenice – last 6
LWWWLW
4 Oct
@ Triglav
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Dren Vrhnika
5–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bilje
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ilirija
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Krka
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Beltinci
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 6
DLLLLD
3 Oct
vs Primorje
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Slovan Ljubljana
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rudar
3–4
L
16 Sep
@ Triglav
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bistrica
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jesenice and Brežice.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Jesenice vs Brežice?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brežice 22%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Brežice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jesenice vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Jesenice 2–1 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jesenice vs Brežice?
Jesenice vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
