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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilirija v Krka: numbers & prediction

2. SNL · Slovenia · Portoval

Ilirija

LLWLD
2–1
FT

Krka

LLLWW
Ilirija 40%Draw 22%Krka 38% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.34
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.90Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlirija to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 34.59

Ilirija vs Krka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ilirija welcome Krka to Portoval for a 2. SNL fixture on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Ilirija are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Krka are 11th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Ilirija, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Beltinci, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Krka, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tabor Sežana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Krka 1–4 Ilirija.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilirija 1.4 xG, Krka 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilirija 40%, draw 22%, Krka 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilirija 2–1 Krka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilirija40%fair 2.49 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.30
Krka38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
2.73Expected goals
1.38Ilirija xG
1.34Krka xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ilirija 1.4 – 1.3 Krka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlirija to win ✓40%2.492.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.27–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betIlirija (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapKrka +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreIlirija to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilirija / FT Ilirija ✓22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3%34.59–

Recent results

Ilirija – last 6

LLWLDL
4 Octvs Beltinci2–4L
25 Sep@ Dekani0–1L
19 Sepvs Krško2–0W
12 Sep@ Jesenice1–3L
4 Sepvs Primorje0–0D
28 Aug@ Slovan Ljubljana1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Krka – last 6

LLLWWL
3 Oct@ Tabor Sežana1–2L
27 Sep@ Beltinci0–3L
20 Sepvs Dekani1–2L
12 Sep@ Krško1–0W
5 Sepvs Jesenice2–0W
28 Aug@ Primorje2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Krka v Ilirija1–4
Ilirija vs Krka head-to-head page →

2. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tabor Sežana141112+1734
2Beltinci141013+2431
3Triglav141013+1831
4Bilje14806-124
5Bistrica14725+223
6Ilirija14716+822
7Rudar14716+522
8Jesenice14545+119
9Dekani14545019
10Slovan Ljubljana14536-718
11Krka14518-416
12Primorje14446-516
13Dravinja14428-914
14Dren Vrhnika14428-1314
15Krško14239-209
16Brežice14149-167

More 2. SNL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilirija vs Krka?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Ilirija vs Krka?

On our numbers Ilirija have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Krka 38%.

How many goals will there be in Ilirija vs Krka?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilirija vs Krka?

Our predicted score is Ilirija 2–1 Krka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ilirija vs Krka?

Ilirija vs Krka (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Portoval.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.