Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2
Value bet: Triglav to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTriglav to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Ilirija vs Triglav: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the 2. SNL brings Ilirija against Triglav. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ilirija are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Triglav are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Ilirija, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Dren Vrhnika, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Triglav, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Krka, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Triglav, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Ilirija.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ilirija 1.0 xG, Triglav 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ilirija 24%, draw 15%, Triglav 62%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Triglav to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilirija 1–1 Triglav. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ilirija24%fair 4.19 · @3.44
Draw15%fair 6.84 · @3.58
Triglav62%fair 1.63 · @1.85
2.96Expected goals
1.04Ilirija xG
1.92Triglav xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ilirija 1.0 – 1.9 Triglav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
62%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Triglav (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Ilirija +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.43
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.14
First team to score
Triglav to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Ilirija – last 6
WWLWLL
31 Oct
@ Dren Vrhnika
4–1
W
27 Oct
vs Bilje
3–0
W
16 Oct
vs Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Krka
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Beltinci
2–4
L
25 Sep
@ Dekani
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Triglav – last 6
LWDWWW
2 Nov
vs Krka
2–4
L
28 Oct
@ Beltinci
4–3
W
23 Oct
vs Nafta
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Dekani
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Krško
2–0
W
4 Oct
vs Jesenice
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilirija and Triglav.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Ilirija vs Triglav?
On our numbers Ilirija have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Triglav 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ilirija vs Triglav?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilirija vs Triglav?
Our predicted score is Ilirija 1–1 Triglav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ilirija vs Triglav?
Ilirija vs Triglav (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
