Value bet: Bistrica to win @ 2.77 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBistrica to win ✗42% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Dekani vs Bistrica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dekani welcome Bistrica for a 2. SNL fixture on Friday 6 November (20:00 WAT). In the table, Dekani are 9th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Bistrica are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Dekani, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dravinja, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bistrica, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Krško, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Bistrica, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Dekani.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Dekani 1–0 Bistrica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dekani 1.1 xG, Bistrica 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dekani 36%, draw 22%, Bistrica 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Bistrica to win @2.77 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dekani 1–1 Bistrica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dekani36%fair 2.78 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.24
Bistrica42%fair 2.40 · @2.77
2.25Expected goals
1.07Dekani xG
1.18Bistrica xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dekani 1.1 – 1.2 Bistrica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Dekani vs Bistrica?
On our numbers Dekani have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bistrica 42%.
How many goals will there be in Dekani vs Bistrica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dekani vs Bistrica?
Our predicted score is Dekani 1–1 Bistrica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Dekani vs Bistrica?
Dekani vs Bistrica (2. SNL) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
