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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Antigua GFC v Marquense: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Pensativo
3–1
FT
Antigua GFC 68%Draw 22%Marquense 10% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.66
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Antigua GFC vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Antigua GFC v Marquense in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Pensativo. In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

Antigua GFC, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Marquense, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Xelajú, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Antigua GFC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Marquense.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Antigua GFC 1–0 Marquense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 2.0 xG, Marquense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 68%, draw 22%, Marquense 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 2–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Antigua GFC68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
Marquense10%fair 9.69 · @7.80
2.68Expected goals
2.02Antigua GFC xG
0.66Marquense xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.7 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Antigua GFCMarquense
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+26%-23%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-5%
Our expected goals here1.990.62

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAntigua GFC to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓90%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.95
Draw no betAntigua GFC (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapAntigua GFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAntigua GFC to score first70%1.42–
Half-time resultAntigua GFC ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.85–

Recent results

Antigua GFC – last 6

LWWLWW
3 May@ Comunicaciones0–2L
30 Aprvs Comunicaciones3–2W
20 Aprvs Malacateco2–1W
16 Apr@ Guastatoya0–3L
12 Aprvs Municipal1–0W
2 Aprvs Mictlán8–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Marquense – last 6

LDLWWL
4 May@ Xelajú0–2L
30 Aprvs Xelajú1–1D
19 Aprvs Municipal1–3L
15 Apr@ Aurora1–0W
12 Aprvs Mictlán3–0W
7 Apr@ Mixco1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Antigua GFC v Marquense1–0
Antigua GFC vs Marquense head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marquense 10%.

How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Antigua GFC vs Marquense?

Antigua GFC vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.