Municipal 65%Draw 21%Mixco 14%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.72
65%
Betarazi pick
Municipal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Municipal vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mixco travel to face Municipal on Saturday 25 July in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Municipal, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Xelajú, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mixco, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Municipal, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Mixco.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Municipal 5–0 Mixco. The last 3 head-to-heads: Municipal 2 wins, Mixco 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 2.0 xG, Mixco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 65%, draw 21%, Mixco 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Municipal to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.10
Mixco14%fair 7.21 · @6.25
2.70Expected goals
1.98Municipal xG
0.72Mixco xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Municipal 2.0 – 0.7 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Municipal
Mixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+6%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.99
0.66
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Municipal to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Municipal vs Mixco?
On our numbers Municipal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mixco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Mixco?
Municipal vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
