Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Guastatoya to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMixco to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Mixco vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guastatoya travel to face Mixco on Sunday 23 August in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Mixco, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over UMECIT, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Guastatoya, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Municipal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 1.2 xG, Guastatoya 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 41%, draw 25%, Guastatoya 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Guastatoya to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 1–1 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.88
Guastatoya34%fair 2.92 · @3.70
2.23Expected goals
1.18Mixco xG
1.05Guastatoya xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.2 – 1.0 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✓
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Mixco (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Guastatoya +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Mixco to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.69
–
Recent results
Mixco – last 6
WLLWWL
20 Aug
vs UMECIT
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Cobán Imperial
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Deportivo Saprissa
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Marquense
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Suchitepéquez
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ CD Olimpia
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 6
WLWWLL
16 Aug
vs Municipal
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Malacateco
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aurora
1–0
W
3 May
@ Municipal
0–2
L
1 May
vs Municipal
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Guastatoya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Mixco vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Mixco have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guastatoya 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Guastatoya?
Mixco vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
