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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Municipal v Xelajú: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
2–0
FT

Xelajú

WLDWL
Municipal 67%Draw 19%Xelajú 14% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.64
67%
Betarazi pick

Municipal to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33

Municipal vs Xelajú: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Liga Nacional brings Municipal against Xelajú at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Xelajú are 1st (leading the league) with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Municipal, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FAS, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Xelajú, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Diriangén, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Municipal, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Xelajú.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Xelajú 1–2 Municipal. The last 3 head-to-heads: Municipal 2 wins, Xelajú 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.8 xG, Xelajú 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 67%, draw 19%, Xelajú 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Municipal to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Municipal67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
Xelajú14%fair 7.18 · @6.50
2.43Expected goals
1.79Municipal xG
0.64Xelajú xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Municipal 1.8 – 0.6 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal to win ✓67%1.501.44
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betMunicipal (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapMunicipal -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMunicipal to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultMunicipal ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal / FT Municipal ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.33–

Recent results

Municipal – last 6

DLWWWD
20 Aug@ FAS1–1D
16 Aug@ Guastatoya0–1L
10 Augvs Cobán Imperial2–0W
7 Aug@ Verdes1–0W
3 Aug@ Marquense2–1W
31 Julvs CS Cartagines1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Xelajú – last 6

WLDWLL
19 Augvs Diriangén2–0W
12 Aug@ Plaza Amador2–5L
8 Aug@ Malacateco2–2D
4 Augvs Aurora3–1W
30 Jul@ LD Alajuelense0–1L
25 Jul@ Deportivo San Pedro0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Xelajú v Municipal1–2
17 May 2026Municipal v Xelajú4–1
20 Mar 2026Xelajú v Municipal3–1
Municipal vs Xelajú head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Municipal vs Xelajú?

Our pick is Municipal to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Municipal vs Xelajú?

On our numbers Municipal have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Xelajú 14%.

How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Xelajú?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Xelajú?

Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Municipal vs Xelajú?

Municipal vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.