Aurora vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 31 August: Aurora v Malacateco in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Guillermo Slowing. In the table, Aurora are 11th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aurora, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Suchitepéquez, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Malacateco, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo San Pedro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Malacateco 1–1 Aurora.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.9 xG, Malacateco 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 45%, draw 23%, Malacateco 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aurora45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Malacateco31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
3.50Expected goals
1.92Aurora xG
1.58Malacateco xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.9 – 1.6 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Aurora vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Aurora have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malacateco 31%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Malacateco?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Malacateco?
Aurora vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
