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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Xelajú v Mixco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Mario Camposeco

Xelajú

DLWLD
4–1
FT

Mixco

WWWLL
Xelajú 63%Draw 23%Mixco 14% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.84
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultXelajú to win ✓63% · @1.60
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Xelajú vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 31 August the Liga Nacional brings Xelajú against Mixco at Estadio Mario Camposeco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Xelajú, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Firpo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Mixco, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alianza FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Xelajú.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Xelajú 2–1 Mixco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 2.0 xG, Mixco 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 63%, draw 23%, Mixco 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 2–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Xelajú63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.65
Mixco14%fair 7.30 · @5.00
2.84Expected goals
2.00Xelajú xG
0.84Mixco xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Xelajú 2.0 – 0.8 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXelajú to win ✓63%1.591.60
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.80
Draw no betXelajú (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapXelajú -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreXelajú to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultXelajú ahead at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Xelajú – last 6

DLWLDW
27 Augvs Firpo1–1D
23 Aug@ Municipal0–2L
19 Augvs Diriangén2–0W
12 Aug@ Plaza Amador2–5L
8 Aug@ Malacateco2–2D
4 Augvs Aurora3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mixco – last 6

WWWLLW
28 Augvs Alianza FC2–0W
23 Augvs Guastatoya4–2W
20 Augvs UMECIT4–1W
15 Aug@ Cobán Imperial2–3L
12 Aug@ Deportivo Saprissa0–3L
8 Augvs Marquense1–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Xelajú v Mixco2–1
Xelajú vs Mixco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xelajú vs Mixco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Xelajú vs Mixco?

On our numbers Xelajú have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mixco 14%.

How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Mixco?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Mixco?

Our predicted score is Xelajú 2–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Xelajú vs Mixco?

Xelajú vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.