Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultMalacateco to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceMalacateco or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Malacateco vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 21 September the Liga Nacional brings Malacateco against Mixco. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Malacateco are 10th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Malacateco, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Municipal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mixco, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aurora, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Malacateco.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Malacateco 1–2 Mixco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malacateco 2.2 xG, Mixco 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malacateco 63%, draw 24%, Mixco 13%.
Lower-risk option: Malacateco or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malacateco to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malacateco 2–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malacateco63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Mixco13%fair 7.74 · @4.50
3.17Expected goals
2.20Malacateco xG
0.97Mixco xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Malacateco 2.2 – 1.0 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Malacateco to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Malacateco vs Mixco?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mixco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Mixco?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Malacateco 2–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Malacateco vs Mixco?
Malacateco vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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