Value bet: Xelajú to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSuchitepéquez to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Xelajú travel to face Suchitepéquez on Monday 21 September in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Suchitepéquez, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Antigua GFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Xelajú, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guastatoya, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Xelajú, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Suchitepéquez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Suchitepéquez 1.5 xG, Xelajú 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Suchitepéquez 39%, draw 23%, Xelajú 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Xelajú to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suchitepéquez 1–1 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Suchitepéquez39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Xelajú38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.48Suchitepéquez xG
1.46Xelajú xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.5 – 1.5 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suchitepéquez to win✗
39%
2.58
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Suchitepéquez (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Xelajú +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Suchitepéquez to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suchitepéquez / FT Suchitepéquez✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Suchitepéquez – last 6
LDLWLL
15 Sep
@ Antigua GFC
2–3
L
10 Sep
vs Guastatoya
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Malacateco
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Cobán Imperial
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Aurora
2–3
L
17 Aug
vs Marquense
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Xelajú – last 6
LDWWDL
14 Sep
@ Guastatoya
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Marquense
4–0
W
31 Aug
vs Mixco
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Firpo
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Municipal
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Suchitepéquez and Xelajú.
What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xelajú 38%.
How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Suchitepéquez 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
