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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cobán Imperial v Malacateco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Verapaz
2–0
FT
Cobán Imperial 61%Draw 22%Malacateco 17% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.86
61%
Betarazi pick

Cobán Imperial to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCobán Imperial to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceCobán Imperial or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Malacateco travel to face Cobán Imperial on Saturday 3 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Verapaz the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Cobán Imperial are 6th, upper half, on 32 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22.

Current form

Cobán Imperial, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aurora, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Malacateco, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marquense, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Malacateco 1–1 Cobán Imperial. The last 3 head-to-heads: Cobán Imperial 1 win, Malacateco 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cobán Imperial 1.9 xG, Malacateco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cobán Imperial 61%, draw 22%, Malacateco 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cobán Imperial or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Cobán Imperial to win (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobán Imperial 1–0 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cobán Imperial61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Malacateco17%fair 5.89 · @4.40
2.73Expected goals
1.87Cobán Imperial xG
0.86Malacateco xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.9 – 0.9 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCobán Imperial to win ✓61%1.631.67
Double chanceCobán Imperial or draw ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Draw no betCobán Imperial (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapCobán Imperial -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreCobán Imperial to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultCobán Imperial ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial ✓39%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Cobán Imperial – last 6

WDDDLL
27 Sepvs Aurora3–2W
20 Sep@ Deportivo San Pedro1–1D
13 Sepvs Comunicaciones2–2D
11 Sep@ Xelajú0–0D
6 Sepvs Guastatoya0–1L
29 Aug@ Suchitepéquez2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Malacateco – last 6

LWDLWL
27 Sep@ Marquense0–1L
21 Sepvs Mixco1–0W
14 Sep@ Municipal2–2D
11 Sepvs Antigua GFC0–2L
6 Sepvs Suchitepéquez2–0W
31 Aug@ Aurora0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Malacateco v Cobán Imperial1–1
17 Apr 2026Malacateco v Cobán Imperial2–0
24 Feb 2026Cobán Imperial v Malacateco2–0
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?

Our pick is Cobán Imperial to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?

On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malacateco 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?

Our predicted score is Cobán Imperial 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco?

Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.