Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarquense to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Marquense vs Antigua GFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Marquense v Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Antigua GFC are 5th (upper half) with 34.
Current form
Marquense, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malacateco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Antigua GFC, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mixco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Antigua GFC 3–1 Marquense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Marquense 0 wins, Antigua GFC 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.9 xG, Antigua GFC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 58%, draw 24%, Antigua GFC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Marquense or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marquense or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–0 Antigua GFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense58%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
Antigua GFC18%fair 5.48 · @4.00
2.86Expected goals
1.88Marquense xG
0.98Antigua GFC xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.9 – 1.0 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
Our pick is Marquense or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Marquense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Antigua GFC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Antigua GFC?
Marquense vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
