Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Mixco to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMixco to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Mixco vs Xelajú: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 29 October the Liga Nacional brings Mixco against Xelajú. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mixco are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 22 matches; Xelajú are 1st (leading the league) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mixco, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Guastatoya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Xelajú, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Municipal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Xelajú.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Aug 2026) it ended Xelajú 4–1 Mixco. The last 2 head-to-heads: Mixco 0 wins, Xelajú 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixco 2.1 xG, Xelajú 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixco 60%, draw 25%, Xelajú 15%.
Lower-risk option: Mixco or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mixco to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mixco or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixco 2–0 Xelajú. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixco60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Xelajú15%fair 6.87 · @3.80
3.09Expected goals
2.10Mixco xG
0.99Xelajú xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Mixco 2.1 – 1.0 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Mixco or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mixco vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Mixco have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Xelajú 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Xelajú?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Xelajú?
Mixco vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
