Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultMalacateco to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceMalacateco or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Malacateco vs Aurora: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aurora travel to face Malacateco on Thursday 29 October in the Liga Nacional – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Malacateco are 10th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 22 matches; Aurora are 11th (in the drop zone) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Malacateco, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo San Pedro, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Aurora, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Suchitepéquez, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Malacateco.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Aug 2026) it ended Aurora 1–0 Malacateco. The last 2 head-to-heads: Malacateco 0 wins, Aurora 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malacateco 2.1 xG, Aurora 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malacateco 66%, draw 21%, Aurora 13%.
Lower-risk option: Malacateco or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malacateco to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malacateco 2–0 Aurora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malacateco66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Aurora13%fair 7.66 · @5.00
2.91Expected goals
2.08Malacateco xG
0.83Aurora xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Malacateco 2.1 – 0.8 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Malacateco to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Malacateco vs Aurora?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aurora 13%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Malacateco 2–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Malacateco vs Aurora?
Malacateco vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
