Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSassuolo to win ✓57% · @1.50
Double chanceSassuolo or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Sassuolo vs Padova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 22 July: Sassuolo v Padova in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Sassuolo, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Parma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Padova, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Cesena, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 2.0 xG, Padova 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 57%, draw 22%, Padova 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 2–1 Padova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo57%fair 1.76 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Padova21%fair 4.66 · @5.00
3.38Expected goals
2.01Sassuolo xG
1.38Padova xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 2.0 – 1.4 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sassuolo
Padova
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+1%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.02
1.73
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✓
57%
1.76
1.50
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Sassuolo (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Padova +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Sassuolo to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Sassuolo – last 6
LLLWDW
24 May
@ Parma
0–1
L
17 May
vs Lecce
2–3
L
8 May
@ Torino
1–2
L
3 May
vs AC Milan
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Como
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
WWLLDD
8 May
@ Cesena
4–3
W
1 May
vs Pescara
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Venezia
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Spezia
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Bari
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Padova.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Padova?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Padova 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Padova?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2–1 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Padova?
Sassuolo vs Padova (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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