Value bet: Dunkerque to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSamsunspor to win ✗44% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Dunkerque vs Samsunspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Dunkerque against Samsunspor. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Dunkerque, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Standard Liege, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Samsunspor, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Alanyaspor, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samsunspor, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Dunkerque.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunkerque 1.3 xG, Samsunspor 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunkerque 31%, draw 25%, Samsunspor 44%.
Price worth noting: Dunkerque to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunkerque 1–1 Samsunspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunkerque31%fair 3.22 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.50
Samsunspor44%fair 2.28 · @1.80
2.61Expected goals
1.32Dunkerque xG
1.29Samsunspor xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dunkerque 1.3 – 1.3 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dunkerque
Samsunspor
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+3%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.14
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✗
44%
2.28
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Samsunspor (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Samsunspor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Dunkerque to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunkerque / FT Dunkerque✓
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Dunkerque – last 6
WWLDDL
18 Jul
vs Standard Liege
2–0
W
27 Apr
@ Boulogne
6–2
W
20 Apr
vs Laval
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Rodez
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Reims
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Clermont Foot
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
WWWLDW
27 Apr
@ Alanyaspor
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Beşiktaş
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Eyüpspor
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rizespor
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunkerque and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Dunkerque vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Dunkerque have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samsunspor 44%.
How many goals will there be in Dunkerque vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunkerque vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Dunkerque 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dunkerque vs Samsunspor?
Dunkerque vs Samsunspor (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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