Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Preston Lions to win @ 4.00 – our chance 37% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +48%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗43% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.17
Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 July the Australia Cup brings Preston Lions against Newcastle Jets at Genis Steel Stadium. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT.
Current form
Preston Lions, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with South Melbourne, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Newcastle Jets, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sydney, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Preston Lions, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Newcastle Jets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Preston Lions 2.0 xG, Newcastle Jets 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Preston Lions 37%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Preston Lions to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston Lions 2–1 Newcastle Jets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Preston Lions37%fair 2.70 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.90
Newcastle Jets43%fair 2.35 · @1.67
3.46Expected goals
2.02Preston Lions xG
1.44Newcastle Jets xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–27%
2–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Preston Lions 2.0 – 1.4 Newcastle Jets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✗
43%
2.35
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
Newcastle Jets (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle Jets +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Preston Lions to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Preston Lions ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
15.17
–
Recent results
Preston Lions – last 6
DWWWWW
18 Jul
@ South Melbourne
0–0
D
10 Jul
vs Hume City
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Avondale
3–2
W
27 Jun
@ Sunshine Georgies
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Heidelberg United
1–0
W
31 May
@ St. Albans Saints
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newcastle Jets – last 6
DWDDLW
9 May
@ Sydney
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Central Coast Mariners
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Melbourne Victory
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Adelaide United
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Macarthur
2–3
L
22 Mar
@ Sydney
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston Lions and Newcastle Jets.
What is the prediction for Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?
On our numbers Preston Lions have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle Jets 43%.
How many goals will there be in Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?
Our predicted score is Preston Lions 2–1 Newcastle Jets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets?
Preston Lions vs Newcastle Jets (Australia Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Genis Steel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lions0
Perth Glory0
Cumberland United0
Heidelberg United3
Bayswater City1
Sydney5