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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lions v Perth Glory: numbers & prediction

Australia Cup · Australia · Lions Stadium

Lions

WWLWW
0–0
FTPens 4–2

Perth Glory

DWDDL
Lions 38%Draw 20%Perth Glory 42% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.31
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Lions to win @ 3.30 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPerth Glory to win ✗42% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.20

Lions vs Perth Glory: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:30 WAT, Tuesday 21 July: Lions v Perth Glory in the Australia Cup, played at Lions Stadium.

Current form

Lions, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gold Coast United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Perth Glory, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sydney, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lions, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Perth Glory.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lions 1.7 xG, Perth Glory 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lions 38%, draw 20%, Perth Glory 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Lions to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lions 1–1 Perth Glory. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lions38%fair 2.60 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.00
Perth Glory42%fair 2.41 · @1.75
3.05Expected goals
1.74Lions xG
1.31Perth Glory xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Lions 1.7 – 1.3 Perth Glory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPerth Glory to win ✗42%2.411.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.601.50
Draw no betPerth Glory (draw no bet)52%1.93–
Asian handicapPerth Glory +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreLions to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lions / FT Lions ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.20–

Recent results

Lions – last 6

WWLWWW
18 Jul@ Gold Coast United1–0W
12 Julvs Eastern Suburbs1–0W
7 Jul@ Gold Coast Knights1–2L
4 Julvs Olympic2–0W
28 Junvs WDSC Wolves6–2W
21 Junvs Rochedale Rovers2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Perth Glory – last 6

DWDDLD
18 Apr@ Sydney0–0D
12 Aprvs Macarthur3–1W
4 Apr@ Central Coast Mariners2–2D
22 Marvs Melbourne City1–1D
14 Mar@ Wellington Phoenix0–2L
8 Mar@ Auckland2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lions and Perth Glory.

Lions vs Perth Glory head-to-head page →

More Australia Cup predictions

League hub
FT Preston Lions3 Newcastle Jets2 137%4.00X20%3.90243%1.67 2.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Cumberland United0 Heidelberg United3 120%11.00X19%7.00261%1.17 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.67 ✓
FT Bayswater City1 Sydney5 126%8.50X17%6.50256%1.18 1.6–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lions vs Perth Glory?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Lions vs Perth Glory?

On our numbers Lions have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Perth Glory 42%.

How many goals will there be in Lions vs Perth Glory?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lions vs Perth Glory?

Our predicted score is Lions 1–1 Perth Glory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Lions vs Perth Glory?

Lions vs Perth Glory (Australia Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Lions Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.