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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fakel v Dinamo Makhachkala: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Fakel Stadium

Fakel

LDWDD
1–2
FT
Fakel 39%Draw 29%Dinamo Makhachkala 32% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.01
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFakel to win ✗39% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.41
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.95

Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dinamo Makhachkala travel to face Fakel on Saturday 25 July in the Premier League, with Fakel Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Fakel are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Fakel, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Rostov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dinamo St. Petersburg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dinamo Makhachkala, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Fakel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 1.2 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 39%, draw 29%, Dinamo Makhachkala 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.09.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.09 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fakel39%fair 2.57 · @2.56
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
Dinamo Makhachkala32%fair 3.09 · @3.12
2.17Expected goals
1.15Fakel xG
1.01Dinamo Makhachkala xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Fakel 1.2 – 1.0 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFakel to win ✗39%2.572.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.41
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.892.09 ▲
Draw no betFakel (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapDinamo Makhachkala +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.581.51
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.01
First team to scoreFakel to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fakel / FT Fakel ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.95–

Recent results

Fakel – last 6

LDWDDD
15 Jul@ FC Rostov1–2L
11 Jul@ Akron1–1D
7 Julvs FC Rostov3–1W
8 Mayvs Ska-khabarovsk0–0D
27 Apr@ Torpedo Moskva2–2D
22 Aprvs Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6

WDLWLW
16 Julvs Dinamo St. Petersburg3–1W
13 Jul@ Zenit1–1D
7 Julvs Gimnasia L.P.1–3L
4 Julvs Leningradets3–0W
1 Jul@ Zenit0–2L
23 Mayvs Ural2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Dinamo Makhachkala.

Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

On our numbers Fakel have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Dinamo Makhachkala 32%.

How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our predicted score is Fakel 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Fakel vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.