Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Spartak Moscow v Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, played at Lukoil Arena. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Rodina Moskva are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zenit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Akron, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 2.7 xG, Rodina Moskva 0.9 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 74%, draw 15%, Rodina Moskva 11%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow to win (74%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow74%fair 1.36 · @1.29
Draw15%fair 6.50 · @6.20
Rodina Moskva11%fair 9.00 · @10.25
3.60Expected goals
2.65Spartak Moscow xG
0.95Rodina Moskva xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.7 – 0.9 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
74%
1.36
1.29
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.77
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Moscow -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.74
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.27
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Spartak Moscow – last 6
DLDWWD
18 Jul
@ Zenit
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–2
L
8 Jul
vs Rubin
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–2
W
2 Jul
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–0
W
17 May
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LDWLWW
2 Jul
vs Akron
0–5
L
27 Jun
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
8 May
vs Chelyabinsk
2–0
W
22 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Fakel
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Rodina Moskva 11%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
