Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Premier League brings Akhmat against Spartak Moscow at Akhmat-Arena. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Spartak Moscow are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Akhmat, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rodina Moskva, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 3–1 Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.0 xG, Spartak Moscow 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 23%, draw 25%, Spartak Moscow 52%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (77%) at 1.27.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow or draw (77%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 0–1 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akhmat23%fair 4.36 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.62
Spartak Moscow52%fair 1.92 · @1.94
2.56Expected goals
0.97Akhmat xG
1.59Spartak Moscow xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.0 – 1.6 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Moscow 52%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 0–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow?
Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
