Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.19 – our chance 54% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.19
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
FC Krasnodar vs Fakel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Sunday 2 August: FC Krasnodar v Fakel in the Premier League, played at Ozon Arena. In the table, FC Krasnodar are 4th, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; Fakel are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Krasnodar, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rubin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Fakel, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Krasnodar, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Fakel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 2.0 xG, Fakel 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 66%, draw 20%, Fakel 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.19.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.19 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 2–0 Fakel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Krasnodar66%fair 1.52 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @5.30
Fakel14%fair 6.93 · @9.90
2.93Expected goals
2.04FC Krasnodar xG
0.89Fakel xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 2.0 – 0.9 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.19 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
FC Krasnodar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
FC Krasnodar – last 6
WDDWWL
26 Jul
@ Rubin
3–1
W
19 Jul
vs Baltika
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–3
D
25 Jun
vs PSK Dinskaya
5–1
W
17 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–0
W
11 May
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
LLDWDD
25 Jul
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ FC Rostov
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Akron
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
8 May
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Fakel.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fakel 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 2–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?
FC Krasnodar vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
