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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Moscow v FC Krasnodar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Lukoil Arena
1–2
FT
Spartak Moscow 49%Draw 23%FC Krasnodar 28% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.30
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.39Odds
1

Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 2.17 – our chance 49% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗49% · @2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Premier League brings Spartak Moscow against FC Krasnodar at Lukoil Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; FC Krasnodar are 4th (among the top four) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over FC Orenburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

FC Krasnodar, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akhmat, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 1–2 FC Krasnodar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 49%, draw 23%, FC Krasnodar 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Spartak Moscow to win @2.17 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Moscow49%fair 2.04 · @2.17
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
FC Krasnodar28%fair 3.62 · @3.22
3.24Expected goals
1.94Spartak Moscow xG
1.30FC Krasnodar xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–26%
2–26%

From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 1.3 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✗49%2.042.17 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.57
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet) ✗64%1.56–
Asian handicapFC Krasnodar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.11
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first58%1.74–
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✗33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WWWDLD
5 Augvs FC Orenburg5–1W
2 Aug@ Akhmat2–1W
25 Julvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
18 Jul@ Zenit1–1D
11 Jul@ Lokomotiv0–2L
8 Julvs Rubin0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Krasnodar – last 6

DWWDDW
5 Augvs Akhmat1–1D
2 Augvs Fakel3–2W
26 Jul@ Rubin3–1W
19 Julvs Baltika1–1D
11 Julvs FC Rostov3–3D
25 Junvs PSK Dinskaya5–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Spartak Moscow v FC Krasnodar1–2
Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?

On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Krasnodar 28%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?

Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.