Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
1
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 2.17 – our chance 49% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗49% · @2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Premier League brings Spartak Moscow against FC Krasnodar at Lukoil Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; FC Krasnodar are 4th (among the top four) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over FC Orenburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
FC Krasnodar, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akhmat, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 1–2 FC Krasnodar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 1.9 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 49%, draw 23%, FC Krasnodar 28%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Spartak Moscow to win @2.17 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow49%fair 2.04 · @2.17
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
FC Krasnodar28%fair 3.62 · @3.22
3.24Expected goals
1.94Spartak Moscow xG
1.30FC Krasnodar xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 1.3 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Krasnodar 28%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.