Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✗78% · @1.14
Double chanceZenit or draw ✗92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Zenit vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zenit welcome Rodina Moskva to Gazprom Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 9 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Zenit are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Rodina Moskva are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zenit, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Baltika, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Rubin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Rodina Moskva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 2.9 xG, Rodina Moskva 0.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 78%, draw 14%, Rodina Moskva 8%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 3–0 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zenit78%fair 1.29 · @1.14
Draw14%fair 7.03 · @8.70
Rodina Moskva8%fair 12.45 · @21.00
3.80Expected goals
2.89Zenit xG
0.90Rodina Moskva xG
57%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
3–09%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Zenit 2.9 – 0.9 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✗
78%
1.29
1.14
Double chance
Zenit or draw✗
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Zenit (draw no bet)✗
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Zenit -1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.78
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.28
First team to score
Zenit to score first✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
55%
1.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Zenit – last 6
WWWDDW
5 Aug
vs Baltika
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ FC Orenburg
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Akron
5–0
W
18 Jul
vs Spartak Moscow
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
WLLLDW
4 Aug
vs Rubin
5–0
W
31 Jul
vs FC Rostov
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–3
L
2 Jul
vs Akron
0–5
L
27 Jun
@ Lokomotiv
0–0
D
8 May
vs Chelyabinsk
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Zenit have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Rodina Moskva 8%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Zenit 3–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Zenit vs Rodina Moskva?
Zenit vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
