Value bet: Baltika to win @ 3.82 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓45% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.14
Baltika vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Moscow travel to face Baltika on Sunday 16 August in the Premier League, with Rostec Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Spartak Moscow are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Krylia Sovetov, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Spartak Moscow, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Krasnodar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.2 xG, Spartak Moscow 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 33%, draw 22%, Spartak Moscow 45%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Baltika to win @3.82 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika33%fair 3.05 · @3.82
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.48
Spartak Moscow45%fair 2.20 · @2.03
2.65Expected goals
1.19Baltika xG
1.46Spartak Moscow xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.2 – 1.5 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
45%
2.20
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.86
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Baltika +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.04
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Baltika – last 6
WLWLDW
8 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Zenit
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Dynamo
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ Akron
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Moscow – last 6
LWWWDL
9 Aug
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
5 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
5–1
W
2 Aug
@ Akhmat
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Rodina Moskva
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Zenit
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and Spartak Moscow.
What is the prediction for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Baltika have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Moscow 45%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?
Baltika vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
