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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Samara Arena
Krylia Sovetov 37%Draw 24%Dinamo Makhachkala 39% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.21
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @ 3.02 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDinamo Makhachkala to win ✓39% · @3.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.62

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League, played at Samara Arena. In the table, Krylia Sovetov are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Baltika, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dinamo Makhachkala, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Krylia Sovetov.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 Krylia Sovetov. The last 2 head-to-heads: Krylia Sovetov 2 wins, Dinamo Makhachkala 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 1.2 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 24%, Dinamo Makhachkala 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.86.
  • Price worth noting: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @3.02 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Krylia Sovetov37%fair 2.73 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.12
Dinamo Makhachkala39%fair 2.56 · @3.02
2.37Expected goals
1.16Krylia Sovetov xG
1.21Dinamo Makhachkala xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.2 – 1.2 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDinamo Makhachkala to win ✓39%2.563.02 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.39 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.86
Draw no betDinamo Makhachkala (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.121.03
First team to scoreDinamo Makhachkala to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dinamo Makhachkala / FT Dinamo Makhachkala ✓21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.62–

Recent results

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LWDDLL
8 Augvs Baltika0–2L
4 Aug@ Dinamo Makhachkala2–1W
1 Aug@ CSKA Moscow1–1D
25 Jul@ Dynamo0–0D
18 Jul@ Akron1–2L
11 Jul@ Rubin0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6

LLWWWD
9 Aug@ Dynamo1–3L
4 Augvs Krylia Sovetov1–2L
1 Augvs Lokomotiv2–1W
25 Jul@ Fakel2–1W
16 Julvs Dinamo St. Petersburg3–1W
13 Jul@ Zenit1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Aug 2026Dinamo Makhachkala v Krylia Sovetov1–2
8 Mar 2026Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala2–0
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dinamo Makhachkala 39%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.