Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 3.12 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAkhmat to win ✓41% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.72
Akhmat vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Akhmat welcome FC Rostov to Akhmat-Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 22 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; FC Rostov are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Akhmat, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fakel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FC Rostov, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Rostov, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Akhmat.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Akhmat 1–0 FC Rostov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.2 xG, FC Rostov 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 41%, draw 24%, FC Rostov 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: FC Rostov to win @3.12 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akhmat41%fair 2.46 · @2.47
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.16
FC Rostov35%fair 2.83 · @3.12
2.26Expected goals
1.18Akhmat xG
1.08FC Rostov xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.2 – 1.1 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Rostov 35%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs FC Rostov?
Akhmat vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
