Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 1.94 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓58% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Premier League brings CSKA Moscow against Lokomotiv at VEB Arena. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, CSKA Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 26 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSKA Moscow, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Akron, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lokomotiv, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Rostov, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Lokomotiv.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 1–1 CSKA Moscow. The last 3 head-to-heads: CSKA Moscow 1 win, Lokomotiv 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.5 xG, Lokomotiv 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 58%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv 21%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: CSKA Moscow to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Moscow58%fair 1.72 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.78
Lokomotiv21%fair 4.72 · @3.82
2.27Expected goals
1.52CSKA Moscow xG
0.76Lokomotiv xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.5 – 0.8 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv 21%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
