Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 3.88 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win ✗47% · @2.03
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Baltika vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Premier League brings Baltika against Lokomotiv at Rostec Arena. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Krylia Sovetov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Akron, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Baltika, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Lokomotiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.4 xG, Lokomotiv 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 47%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @3.88 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika47%fair 2.15 · @2.03
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.44
Lokomotiv31%fair 3.23 · @3.88
2.49Expected goals
1.41Baltika xG
1.08Lokomotiv xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.4 – 1.1 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✗
47%
2.15
2.03
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.81
Draw no bet
Baltika (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
Baltika to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Baltika – last 6
DWDDLW
2 Sep
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Rodina Moskva
3–0
W
24 Aug
vs Rubin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
DLLLDD
1 Sep
@ Akron
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ FC Rostov
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ FC Orenburg
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Akron
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and Lokomotiv.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Baltika vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Baltika have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv 31%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Lokomotiv?
Baltika vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
