Dinamo Makhachkala 63%Draw 24%Rodina Moskva 12%Expected goals 2.22 – 0.96
88%
Betarazi pick
Dinamo Makhachkala or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @ 1.78 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Makhachkala to win ✓63% · @1.78
Double chanceDinamo Makhachkala or draw ✓88% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dinamo Makhachkala welcome Rodina Moskva to Anzhi Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 6 September (14:15 WAT). In the table, Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Rodina Moskva are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zenit, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Makhachkala 2.2 xG, Rodina Moskva 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Makhachkala 63%, draw 24%, Rodina Moskva 12%.
Lower-risk option: Dinamo Makhachkala or draw (88%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dinamo Makhachkala or draw (88%, odds 1.23 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dinamo Makhachkala63%fair 1.58 · @1.78
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.92
Rodina Moskva12%fair 8.03 · @4.45
3.17Expected goals
2.22Dinamo Makhachkala xG
0.96Rodina Moskva xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dinamo Makhachkala 2.2 – 1.0 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Makhachkala to win✓
63%
1.58
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Dinamo Makhachkala or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.23 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.86
Draw no bet
Dinamo Makhachkala (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Dinamo Makhachkala -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.98 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.06
First team to score
Dinamo Makhachkala to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Dinamo Makhachkala ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Makhachkala / FT Dinamo Makhachkala✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6
LLLDWL
2 Sep
@ Zenit
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Rubin
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
20 Aug
@ Baltika
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
4–1
W
9 Aug
@ Dynamo
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LLLLDW
2 Sep
@ Spartak Moscow
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Baltika
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Dynamo
1–3
L
18 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Akron
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Zenit
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Makhachkala and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Dinamo Makhachkala or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Dinamo Makhachkala have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rodina Moskva 12%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva?
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Anzhi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
