Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Krasnodar to win @ 1.72 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗65% · @1.72
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Krasnodar travel to face Krylia Sovetov on Saturday 5 September in the Premier League, with Samara Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Krylia Sovetov are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; FC Krasnodar are 4th (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Krylia Sovetov, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Baltika, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Krasnodar, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fakel, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Krasnodar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Krylia Sovetov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 0.8 xG, FC Krasnodar 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 14%, draw 20%, FC Krasnodar 65%.
Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: FC Krasnodar to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Krasnodar or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 0–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Krylia Sovetov14%fair 7.02 · @4.65
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
FC Krasnodar65%fair 1.53 · @1.72
2.78Expected goals
0.80Krylia Sovetov xG
1.99FC Krasnodar xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 0.8 – 2.0 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✗
65%
1.53
1.72 ▲
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.72
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
FC Krasnodar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
DDWDLL
2 Sep
@ Baltika
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Akhmat
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Akron
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Zenit
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Baltika
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 6
DWWWWW
1 Sep
@ Fakel
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
19 Aug
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Akhmat
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is FC Krasnodar or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Krasnodar 65%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
