Value bet: Zenit to win @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceZenit or draw ✗86% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Zenit vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Zenit v CSKA Moscow in the Premier League, played at Gazprom Arena. In the table, Zenit are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; CSKA Moscow are 5th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Zenit, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CSKA Moscow, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Rostov, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 2.0 xG, CSKA Moscow 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 67%, draw 19%, CSKA Moscow 14%.
Lower-risk option: Zenit or draw (86%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Zenit to win @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 2–0 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zenit67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.15
CSKA Moscow14%fair 6.91 · @5.50
2.74Expected goals
1.98Zenit xG
0.76CSKA Moscow xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Zenit 2.0 – 0.8 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✗
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Zenit or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Zenit (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Zenit -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Zenit to score first✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Zenit – last 6
WWLDWL
2 Sep
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Fakel
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dynamo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSKA Moscow – last 6
LDWLWD
1 Sep
@ FC Rostov
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Akron
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Lokomotiv
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Akron
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Fakel
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs FC Rostov
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit and CSKA Moscow.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Zenit have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CSKA Moscow 14%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Zenit 2–0 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zenit vs CSKA Moscow?
Zenit vs CSKA Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
