CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Moscow welcome Rodina Moskva to VEB Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, CSKA Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 26 points after 14 matches; Rodina Moskva are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSKA Moscow, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Arsenal Tula, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Rodina Moskva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 2.3 xG, Rodina Moskva 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 70%, draw 21%, Rodina Moskva 9%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CSKA Moscow to win (70%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Moscow70%fair 1.43 · @1.41
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.15
Rodina Moskva9%fair 10.84 · @7.30
3.15Expected goals
2.34CSKA Moscow xG
0.81Rodina Moskva xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 2.3 – 0.8 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
70%
1.43
1.41
Double chance
CSKA Moscow or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.71
Draw no bet
CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Moscow -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.19
First team to score
CSKA Moscow to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
CSKA Moscow – last 6
WWDWLD
4 Oct
vs Arsenal Tula
3–1
W
17 Sep
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Rubin
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Zenit
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ FC Rostov
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Akron
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LDLLLL
4 Oct
@ Dynamo
2–3
L
16 Sep
vs Rubin
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ Spartak Moscow
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Baltika
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is CSKA Moscow to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rodina Moskva 9%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva?
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
