Baltika 46%Draw 24%FC Rostov 30%Expected goals 1.41 – 1.07
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
2
Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 3.88 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win ✗46% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Baltika vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Rostov travel to face Baltika on Sunday 18 October in the Premier League, with Rostec Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; FC Rostov are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Krylia Sovetov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Rostov, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to CSKA Moscow, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Rostov, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Baltika.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.4 xG, FC Rostov 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 46%, draw 24%, FC Rostov 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.04.
Price worth noting: FC Rostov to win @3.88 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–1 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika46%fair 2.17 · @2.13
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.18
FC Rostov30%fair 3.35 · @3.88
2.47Expected goals
1.41Baltika xG
1.07FC Rostov xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.4 – 1.1 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✗
46%
2.17
2.13
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.04 ▲
Draw no bet
Baltika (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
FC Rostov +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.01
First team to score
Baltika to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Baltika – last 6
WDLDLD
14 Oct
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Akhmat
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Zenit
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Fakel
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Lokomotiv
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Rostov – last 6
LWLLWW
14 Oct
@ CSKA Moscow
0–4
L
9 Oct
vs Akron
1–0
W
17 Sep
vs Dynamo
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Spartak Moscow
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Fakel
3–1
W
1 Sep
vs CSKA Moscow
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and FC Rostov.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Baltika vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Baltika have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Rostov 30%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs FC Rostov?
Baltika vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
