Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Zenit vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Akhmat travel to face Zenit on Sunday 18 October in the Premier League, with Gazprom Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Zenit are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Akhmat are 12th (lower half) with 14. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zenit, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Akhmat, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dynamo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 2.1 xG, Akhmat 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 65%, draw 18%, Akhmat 16%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 2–0 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zenit65%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @5.05
Akhmat16%fair 6.16 · @9.20
2.94Expected goals
2.05Zenit xG
0.89Akhmat xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Zenit 2.1 – 0.9 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.99 ▲
Draw no bet
Zenit (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Zenit -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Zenit to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Zenit – last 6
WWWDWW
14 Oct
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ FC Krasnodar
3–2
W
4 Oct
vs Bate Borisov
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ Baltika
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
LDLWDL
14 Oct
vs Dynamo
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Baltika
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Akron
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–2
W
7 Sep
@ Rubin
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Dynamo
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit and Akhmat.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Zenit vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Zenit have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Akhmat 16%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Zenit 2–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zenit vs Akhmat?
Zenit vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
