Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 3.52 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Premier League brings Lokomotiv against FC Krasnodar at RZD Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; FC Krasnodar are 4th (among the top four) with 26. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akron, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Krasnodar, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fakel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for FC Krasnodar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.2 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 32%, draw 22%, FC Krasnodar 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @3.52 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv32%fair 3.12 · @3.52
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
FC Krasnodar46%fair 2.16 · @2.12
2.62Expected goals
1.16Lokomotiv xG
1.46FC Krasnodar xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.2 – 1.5 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✗
46%
2.16
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.66
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.08
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 6
DWWDLW
13 Oct
vs Akron
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Fakel
5–0
W
3 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Zenit
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Baltika
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 6
LLDDDD
13 Oct
vs Fakel
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Zenit
2–3
L
17 Sep
@ FC Orenburg
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Akron
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Fakel
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Krasnodar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar?
Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
